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Wildfire
Prescribed Fire
Burned Area
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The Goat Fire started on the evening on August 5, 2024, 11 miles southeast of Cascade, ID. At 6 a.m. on August 10, 2024, Great Basin Complex Incident Management Team 2 assumed command of the fire. The incident is being managed along with three other fires in the area (Boulder, Snag, and Dollar) as the West Mountain Complex.
| Current as of | Tue, 09/03/2024 - 12:44 |
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| Incident Time Zone | America/Boise |
| Incident Type | Wildfire |
| Cause | Lightning/Natural |
| Date of Origin | |
| Location | 11 miles SE of Cascade, Idaho |
| Incident Commander | Jared Hohn IC Rocky Mountain CIMT2 Jay Mickey Deputy IC Rodney Redinger IC(T) |
| Coordinates |
44° 25' 54'' Latitude
-115° 49' 40
'' Longitude
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| Total Personnel: | 124 |
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| Size | 3,265 Acres |
| Percent of Perimeter Contained | 0% |
| Estimated Containment Date | 10/15/2024 |
| Fuels Involved | Timber (Grass and Understory) Brush (2 feet) Timber (Litter and Understory) Fuel models are TUS and SH2 |
| Significant Events | Active Crowning Wind Driven Runs Short-Range Spotting Active fire behavior is possible. Expect backing, flanking, group torching, and small isolated runs when terrain and winds are in alignment. Terrain and wind driven runs are likely on the north, east and south flanks. Beginning Tuesday, fire activity will likely moderate for a day or two before the return of a drying trend |
| Planned Actions |
Monitoring fire spread in Goat Creek. Resources will continue to prep, construct, and improve indirect line from the south and up Clear Creek Rd. to the northeast. Continued scouting of control features to the south. Potential burnout to connect the Snag Fire to the East Fire burn scar. Also planning to burnout along the 099 Trail to prevent the fire from moving west outside of existing containment lines. |
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| Projected Incident Activity |
12 hours: Active fire behavior is expected. Thunderstorms may develop today with potential to produce dry lightning and strong outflow winds which may result in extreme fire behavior to include crown runs and long-range spotting. Expect backing, flanking, group torching, and small isolated runs when terrain and winds are in alignment. Fire is likely to spread to the south and west toward Ground Hog Creek and down drainage in the Middle Fork of the Payette River corridor. Activity may decrease later in the afternoon as cloud cover begin to form in the area. 24 hours: Moderate fire behavior: Conditions are expected to moderate as cooler temperatures and higher humidities move back into the fire area. Expect backing with group torching and small isolated runs where terrain and wind align. 48 hours: Moderate fire behavior. Expect backing, group torching, and small isolated runs where terrain and wind align. 72 hours: Moderate fire behavior. Backing with group torching and small isolated runs where terrain and wind align. Anticipated after 72 hours: A drying trend returns bringing the potential for increased fire behavior especially when moderate to strong winds are in the forecast. |
| Remarks |
This incident is being prioritized with three other incidents (Boulder, Dollar, and Snag). |
| Weather Concerns | Weather Concerns (synopsis of current and predicted weather: discuss related factors that may cause concern): Today (Monday): RED GLAG WARNING FROM 0900 TO 2400 TODAY. Several rounds of thunderstorms with dry lightning and strong outflows. Despite continuation overnight, only localized wetting rains expected for the fire area. Very dry surface conditions remain despite clouds moderating temperature and humidity slightly. Winds will be southwest with a few gusts to 25 mph, becoming dominated by outflow winds up to 50 mph near thunderstorms. Tomorrow (Tuesday): The storm system departs to the east with cooler weather and higher humidity. Some lingering moisture will develop thunderstorms over the higher terrain, tapering off by the evening. Winds will be northwesterly at the ridges with a few gusts to 20 mph. Clearing skies overnight will result in optimized cooling, improving overnight humidity recovery into Wednesday. Wednesday through Friday: High pressure takes hold of the region with a warming and drying trend for the remainder of the week. Temperatures will warm each day with decreasing afternoon humidity. Additionally, overnight recoveries will begin to diminish as a thermal belt develops nightly. Light winds will be mostly terrain induced. With weak transport winds, smoke dispersal will become poor with reduced visibility, air quality and solar heating. |
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